Health Cabinet Secretary Aden Duale has thrown his weight behind President William Ruto’s long-term development agenda, insisting Kenya must look beyond Vision 2030 even as critics question whether the Government has delivered enough to justify planning for another generation.
Duale joined Ruto and other senior leaders at the Kenyatta International Convention Centre in Nairobi on Wednesday for the inaugural National Conversation: Beyond 2030.
The gathering is intended to shape a new development blueprint after Vision 2030.
But with the 2027 General Election less than a year away, the exercise has inevitably become political.
For Ruto, the conversation offers an opportunity to argue that his administration is thinking beyond the next election and laying the foundations for a different Kenya.
For his critics, it raises a more awkward question: why should Kenyans buy into another grand national vision when the promises of the last one remain unfinished?
Duale made the case for looking forward.
“Kenya's development journey cannot be defined by the milestones we have already reached. It must also be measured by the ambition with which we prepare for what comes next,” he said.
The Health CS said the country should use the process to examine the successes and failures of Vision 2030 before deciding what Kenya should look like in the decades ahead.
His intervention effectively put him among the senior members of Ruto’s administration selling the President’s long-term political and economic vision.
And he chose healthcare as his strongest argument.
“A prosperous Kenya must be a healthy Kenya,” Duale said.
He called for a health system in which every citizen could access quality, affordable and timely care, regardless of where they lived or how much they earned.
It is an attractive proposition.
It is also one of the areas where Ruto’s administration faces its toughest political test.
The Government’s decision to replace the National Health Insurance Fund with the Social Health Authority has been dogged by complaints over access to treatment, claims processing and payments to healthcare providers.
Teachers’ unions and other groups have raised concerns over the implementation of the new system, while opponents have accused the administration of making healthcare more complicated for ordinary Kenyans.
Ruto has rejected those criticisms and repeatedly defended SHA as a necessary overhaul of a system he says was riddled with inefficiencies and corruption.
Duale has been even more combative.
“Those who are opposing are the normal characters who want to oppose William Ruto because he is called William Ruto; the name Ruto disturbs them,” he said earlier this year.
That remark captures the political difficulty facing the administration.
Every major reform is now being judged not only on whether it works, but also on whether Kenyans believe it is improving their lives.
The election nobody wants to mention
The timing of the Beyond 2030 conversation makes the political calculation difficult to ignore.
Ruto is preparing to seek a second term in 2027.
At the same time, his administration is asking Kenyans to participate in shaping a development vision that will extend well beyond the next presidential election.
The President has argued that the two issues should not be confused.
Kenya, he says, cannot afford to stop planning every five years simply because an election is approaching.
The Government also argues that the exercise gives Kenyans an opportunity to participate in deciding the country’s long-term priorities.